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Environmental Fantasia

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30 10 08 - 16:07

Carbon pollution levels are rising so fast that the world has no realistic chance of hitting ambitious climate targets set by Britain and the G8, an influential report to the Australian government has warned.

The Garnaut report says developed nations including Britain, the United States and Australia would have to slash carbon dioxide emissions by 5% each year over the next decade to hit the 450ppm target. Britain's climate change bill, the most ambitious of its kind in the world, calls for reductions of about 3% each year to 2050.

Friends of the Earth said: "A target of 550ppm of carbon dioxide is a recipe for disaster and even the lower target of 450ppm will mean we will face runaway climate change. The Arctic sea ice and Himalaya glaciers are already disappearing and the permafrost bomb is looming. We need much deeper cuts. Professor Garnaut has described strong targets as delusional, but he continues to feed a delusional policy debate that recognises the problem but doesn't want to implement the solution."


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It's like trying to get an alchoholic or other addict who associates their excess with comfort and pleasure to look at their lifestyle and agree it's time to volunteer for cold turkey for the rest of their life. The first step is to get them to agree they have a problem. If you can get past that you have to get them to have a genuine determination to solve that problem. It is at this second hurdle that modern industrial society has foundered. The government is surrounded by financial interests that want to play down the need for cuts in carbon emissions and other sacrifices for the environment and by a public who largely want to ignore the problem and assume their masters must be doing the right thing, or even overstating the threats.

People who should know better, who are qualified to know better but apparantly just aren't paying attention, still haven't grasped the extent to which carbon emissions must be cut.

As I report on climate change, I come across a lot of scary facts, like the possibility that thawing permafrost in Siberia could release gigatons of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere, or the risk that Greenland could pass a tipping point and begin to melt rapidly. But one of the most frightening studies I've read recently had nothing to do with icebergs or megadroughts. In a paper that came out Oct. 23 in Science, John Sterman — a professor at Massachusetts Institute of Technology's (MIT) Sloan School of Management — wrote about asking 212 MIT grad students to give a rough idea how much governments need to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions to eventually stop the increase in the concentration of carbon in the atmosphere. These students had training in science, technology, mathematics and economics at one of the best schools in the world — they are probably a lot smarter than you or me. Yet 84% of Sterman's subjects got his problem wrong, greatly underestimating the degree to which greenhouse gas emissions need to fall. When the MIT kids can't figure out climate change, what are the odds that the broader public will?



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These students felt that a mere cap on the present emissions would be sufficient! They are very seriously of the mark.
Some of those who doubt man made climate change now have some more evidence that goes against their dogma.

No corner of the Earth is immune from the effects of global warming, according to a new study that confirms manmade temperature rises in both the Arctic and Antarctic regions. Temperature records over the last century show that warming in the planet's coldest and most remote wildernesses is caused by human emissions of greenhouse gases.

The study, published today in Nature Geoscience, is the first to find the fingerprints of manmade global warming on the Antarctic, where a shortage of data makes it hard to be sure. Last year's report, from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), said human influence could be detected on every continent, except Antarctica. Climate sceptics have exploited this omission to question the science of global warming.


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However, the deniers include thousands who also insist that dinosaurs and humans once walked together, and even look forward to the day of Judgement when those nasty Commies who warned about the need to stop unsustainable consumption will be showered with brimstone and fire, while they themselves look on smugly, harp in hand. It must be hopelessly unrealistic to expect scientific evidence to sway them. The worse things get, the more this type of American clings to their irrational faith, and Sarah Palin wigs. America should instead be leading the way as an example to the world.

It is irritating that opposing unsustainable consumption is immediately perceived, being anti-capitialist, as a view only a Marxist could get enthusiastic about.

Consumerism is the biggest obstacle to sustainability and the pressure to consume is stoked by greater inequality. Inequality amplifies social status differences and adds to status insecurity and competition. People in more unequal societies struggle to keep up: they work longer hours, borrow more and save less.

Fairness is also key to policies to reduce global warming. Allowing rich nations or individuals to produce 10 times the carbon emissions of the poor is not a basis for agreement and effective enforcement.


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In a sense the above is making valid points, regarding the social competition that drives people to consume excessively, but "equality" is not the answer. The answer is to have a society which puts other values higher than money and consumerism. A society where bonds with others and one's own identity come from ethnic and cultural cohesion rather than individualism caused by a fractured pluralist marketplace society. But many, especially in America, easily associate opposition to the materialist rat-race with their idea of the ultimate "socialist" horror. To gather from the way McCain's campaign has accused Obama recently of being a "socialist", you would think it was now a far worse insult than calling someone "fascist", or a "pig in lipstick" politically speaking! And all the millions who subscribe to that view likewise consider environmentalists as working for Beelzebub. Surely they should feel at least a little twinge of maudlin concern when they hear news of all the poor helpless beasts that are suffering though? The US is the land of Mickey Mouse, and Disney, who anthopomorphised so many animals remains a hero of American culture. Caring about cute creatures is surely as American as apple pie? Therefore hopefully many realise that it is a tragedy that so many species are now going extinct. This week in the news:

Seven Puget Sound killer whales are missing and feared dead in what could be the biggest decline among the sound's orcas in nearly a decade, say scientists who carefully track the endangered animals.

"This is a disaster," Ken Balcomb, a senior scientist at the Center for Whale Research on San Juan Island, said Friday. "The population drop is worse than the stock market."

While the official census won't be completed until December, the number of live "southern resident" orcas now stands at 83.


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So much for "Free Willy". And:

New research by the Wildlife Conservation Society and Save the Elephants has found that African Elephants are quickly becoming trapped by new road construction cutting through their forest habitats.

The study, which appeared in today’s issue of Public Library of Science, says the elephants have adopted a “siege mentality” and literally cannot bring themselves to cross roadways, even in search of food.

“Forest elephants are basically living in fear of their lives in prisons created by roads. They are roaming around the woods like frightened mice rather than tranquil formidable giants of their forest realm,” said Dr. Stephen Blake, the study’s lead author.


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If the plight of those elephants leaves anyone unmoved, then they must be a "Dumbo" for sure.

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"To-morrow, and to-morrow, and to-morrow,
Creeps in this petty pace from day to day,
To the last syllable of recorded time;
And all our yesterdays have lighted fools
The way to dusty death. Out, out, brief candle!
Life's but a walking shadow; a poor player,
That struts and frets his hour upon the stage,
And then is heard no more: it is a tale
Told by an idiot, full of sound and fury,
Signifying nothing.
"

From William Shakespeare's "Macbeth"